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| Criterion | ![]() Agile NoEstimates | ![]() Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting | ![]() Decision Making Trade-off Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | With limited resources, quality, speed, cost, and risk almost always compete with each other. Trade-off Analysis makes these tensions explicit and prevents decisions from producing hidden side effects. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Trade-off Matrix, Criteria List, Decision Rationale, Accepted Downsides |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | ForecastingFlowDelivery | TradeoffsDecisionCriteriaOptions |
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