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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
laufend5-20 min90-180 min
Participantsdifferent
2-123-203-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsCoD Table, Prioritization Sequence
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationEffortRisk
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration of a calibrated five-by-five risk matrix with response cards.
Decision Making
Risk Matrix
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method