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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLow
Timedifferent
laufend45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-122-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation