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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Agile WSJF |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-90 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-10 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Ranked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay Assumptions | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |
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