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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Architecture Architecture Decision Record |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | An ADR permanently records an architecture decision with context, trade-offs, and consequence. It creates continuity for later changes because the decision path stays traceable. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-3 h | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | ADR File, Decision Log, Rationale |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | ArchitectureRationaleDocumentationGovernance |
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