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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Agile Story Splitting |  Operations 5 Whys |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When a story becomes too large for a clean flow, it breaks scope down along value and risk. It shapes the work into a form that ships earlier and is easier to verify. | For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 30-60 min | 15-30 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Smaller Stories, Acceptance Criteria, Split Rationale | Root cause notes, Countermeasures |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | BacklogIterationDelivery | Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving |
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