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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Agile NoEstimates |  Operations Kepner-Tregoe |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | laufend | 2-8 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | EstimationForecastingFlow | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations |
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