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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Agile NoEstimates |  Operations ALPEN Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | laufend | 10-20 min daily |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 1 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | EstimationForecastingFlow | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations |
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