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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations Ivy Lee Method |  Operations ALPEN Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | With a restless workday full of too many open items, the method creates radical simplicity. It directs attention to a short sequence instead of a broad, still-open field. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 5-10 min daily | 10-20 min daily |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1 | 1 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Daily Priority List, Completion Notes | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | PrioritizationProductivityExecution | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations |
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