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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Systems Thinking Iceberg Model |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-10 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Iceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns |
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