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| Criterion | ![]() Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting | ![]() Growth Hooked Model | ![]() Delivery Value Stream Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | Multiple workshops over several weeks | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Hooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics check | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | GrowthBehaviorRetention | LeanFlowWasteDelivery |
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