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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy SWOT Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | SWOT Analysis arranges strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats into a compact picture of the situation. It keeps internal capabilities and external influences separate before strategic options emerge from them. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | SWOT matrix, Strategic options, Action list |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyAnalysisMarketPositioning |
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