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Criterion
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min Setup, danach laufend1-3 h10-30 min je Item
Participantsdifferent
1-83-81-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationBottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingFlowDelivery
FlowMeasurementConstraints
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation