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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Agile WSJF |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-10 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Ranked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay Assumptions | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization | LeanFlowWasteDelivery |
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