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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration of System Dynamics Simulation with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
System Dynamics Simulation
Iceberg Model method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Iceberg Model
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports.The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLow
Timedifferent
60-120 minMehrere Tage bis Wochen30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-101-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron2-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsSimulation Model, Scenario ReportsIceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention Ideas
Tags1 shared
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis
Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Stock and Flow Diagram method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Stock and Flow Diagram
Paper illustration of System Archetypes with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
System Archetypes
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram