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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration of Shape Up with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Shape Up
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts.
Complexitysame
MediumMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down
Participantsdifferent
3-102-4 pro Pitch
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsPitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomes
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
PlanningDeliveryAutonomy
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Communication Plan
Delivery
Communication Plan
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Paper illustration for CATWOE Analysis.
Systems Thinking
CATWOE Analysis