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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Agile NoEstimates |  Engineering Kanban |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | laufend | Ongoing |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-12 | 2-12 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | EstimationForecastingFlow | FlowVisual managementDelivery |
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