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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations Failure Mode and Effects Analysis |  Operations After-Action Review |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability. | After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 2-6 h | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-10 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | FMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions | Lessons learned, Action items, Event summary |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause | LearningOperationsImprovement |
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