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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Balanced Scorecard |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Balanced Scorecard translates strategy into a few interconnected perspectives and metrics. It holds impact, steering, and learning together in daily work instead of narrowing strategy down to financial figures. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen | Halber Tag bis mehrere Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Balanced Scorecard, Strategic Measures, Initiative Map |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyMetricsExecution |
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