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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Operations Failure Mode and Effects Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | Half day | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-8 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | FMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause |
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