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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Systems Thinking Causal Loop Diagram |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 1-5 Tage | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | Nutzertraffic | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Causal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics |
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