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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper board with the four ROAM fields Resolved, Owned, Accepted, and Mitigated.
Agile
ROAM Board
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min20-40 min initial, dann laufend30-90 min Setup, danach laufend
Participantsdifferent
3-203-151-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsROAM Board, Owner ListForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
RiskAgileTrackingAlignment
ForecastingFlowDelivery
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Dual Track Agile with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Dual-Track Agile