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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Delivery RAID Log |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 30 min Setup, dann laufend | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 1-3 maintaining, briefing for everyone | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | RAID Log, Status Report Source | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance | ForecastingFlowDelivery |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
