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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Operations ALPEN Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. |
Complexitysame | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 20–45 min | 10-20 min daily |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | Small cross-functional group | 1 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations |
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