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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A paper-based illustration representing OKRs with its core stages and visible working result.
Product Strategy
OKRs
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When strategic direction needs to become measurable, it connects ambition with checkable results. It makes goals connectable to focus and review.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLow
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-2 h Setup1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-202-20Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsOKR set, Measurement plan, Review cadenceInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
GoalsAlignmentOutcomesMeasurement
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper objective sheet with five SMART fields, baseline, target, owner, deadline and a complete result statement.
Product Strategy
SMART Goals