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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A paper-based illustration representing OKRs with its core stages and visible working result.
Product Strategy
OKRs
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When strategic direction needs to become measurable, it connects ambition with checkable results. It makes goals connectable to focus and review.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-2 h Setup45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-202-202-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsOKR set, Measurement plan, Review cadenceAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
GoalsAlignmentOutcomesMeasurement
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper objective sheet with five SMART fields, baseline, target, owner, deadline and a complete result statement.
Product Strategy
SMART Goals
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing