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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 1-8 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability |
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