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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-3 h1-4 h or multiple rounds
Participantsdifferent
3-203-84-12 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsFailure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response ActionsEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
FailureResilienceRisk
EstimationExpertsForecasting
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Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation