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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper objective sheet with five SMART fields, baseline, target, owner, deadline and a complete result statement.
Product Strategy
SMART Goals
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When goals are formulated too generally, it brings measurability, direction, and timing into shape. It prevents intentions from staying without clear verification.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLow
Timedifferent
5-20 min45-60 min15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
3-202-81-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingSMART Goal, Measurement Note, Deadline
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
GoalsPlanningMeasurementAlignment
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

A paper-based illustration representing OKRs with its core stages and visible working result.
Product Strategy
OKRs
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing