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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitysame
LowLowLow
Timedifferent
5-20 min10-20 min daily20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
3-201Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis