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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-4 Wochen1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-201-66-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix