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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Stock and Flow Diagram |  Systems Thinking Wardley Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Stock and Flow Diagram shows how stocks, inflows, and outflows shape a system over time. It is especially suited when growth, delays, or capacity limits determine the dynamics. | Wardley Mapping makes visible where an offering stands today and where it can evolve. The method connects user need, value chain, and evolution stages into a strategic basis for platform, build, or buy decisions. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-6 h | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 | 2-10 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Stock and Flow Model, Dynamics Notes, Simulation Hypotheses | Wardley Map, Strategic Options, Evolution Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DynamicsSimulationFeedbackSystems thinking | StrategySystems thinkingDynamics |
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