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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Stock and Flow Diagram |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Stock and Flow Diagram shows how stocks, inflows, and outflows shape a system over time. It is especially suited when growth, delays, or capacity limits determine the dynamics. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-6 h | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Stock and Flow Model, Dynamics Notes, Simulation Hypotheses | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DynamicsSimulationFeedbackSystems thinking | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics |
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