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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Opportunity Solution Tree |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h Setup, laufend | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning Log | KPI Tree, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement |
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