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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Facilitation Consensus Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When a group needs a solid decision without outvoting individual factions, a Consensus Workshop creates a negotiable common ground. It makes agreement, reservations, and open tensions discussable at the same time. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 | 5-30 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Consensus Clusters, Theme Titles, Priority Areas |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ForecastingFlowDelivery | FacilitationConsensusWorkshopAlignment |
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