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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Half day | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |
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