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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |  Product Discovery Test Card |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend | 20-35 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | KPI Tree, Owner List | Test Card with a pre-set threshold |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |
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