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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.
Complexitysame
HighHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen2-8 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan
Tags1 shared
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for 8D Problem Solving.
Operations
8D Problem Solving
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Paper illustration of the Lightning Decision Jam working structure.
Facilitation
Decision Jam