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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |
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