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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. |
Complexitysame | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
