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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 | 4-20 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments | ComplexitySensemakingDecision |
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