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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Causal Loop Diagram |  Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations. | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Causal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis |
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