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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |  Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 20-45 min | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-10 | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis |
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