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| Criterion |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Causal Loop Diagram |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-6 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Causal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points |
Tagsno overlap | DecisionTreeOptions | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics |
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