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Criterion
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Purposedifferent
For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-120 min45-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
2-62-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanCausal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points
Tagsno overlap
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Stock and Flow Diagram method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Stock and Flow Diagram
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph