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| Criterion |  Agile Bucket System |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 5-20 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 3-20 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | EstimationEffortRisk | ForecastingFlowDelivery |
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