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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation |  Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality |
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