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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.
Complexitysame
LowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min20-45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-10
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanBehavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of System Archetypes with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
System Archetypes
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB