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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Three Horizons with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Three Horizons
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon.
Complexitysame
MediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 minHalbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ
Participantsdifferent
2-83-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingHorizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing