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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of System Dynamics Simulation with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
System Dynamics Simulation
Stock and Flow Diagram method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Stock and Flow Diagram
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports.A Stock and Flow Diagram shows how stocks, inflows, and outflows shape a system over time. It is especially suited when growth, delays, or capacity limits determine the dynamics.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
45-60 minMehrere Tage bis Wochen2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
2-81-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron1-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingSimulation Model, Scenario ReportsStock and Flow Model, Dynamics Notes, Simulation Hypotheses
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis
DynamicsSimulationFeedbackSystems thinking
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing